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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 Winner | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 83¢ · 100¢ (17¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 Winner | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | 84¢ · 100¢ (16¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $1,657 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | 19990930 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $1,345 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | 0xNuttawut | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $4,238 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | alaskabaked | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $3,261 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | Kkunn | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $14,397 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | jyben13 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa95¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | −$90 −5.3% | — |
| 23d | luminaarx | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa90¢ → 100¢ | $7,214 | +$802 +11% | 5 |
| 23d | Boring-Conga-Drake | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa89¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$158 +12% | 5 |
| 23d | dmoralez3 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa59¢ → 100¢ | $3,773 | −$2,671 −71% | — |
| 23d | _test_i075_i078_12 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa48¢ → 100¢ | $5,066 | +$5,419 +107% | 6 |
| 23d | dmoralez | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa83¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$303 +20% | 5 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues14 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa59¢ → 100¢ | $30,562 | +$21,589 +71% | 6 |
| 23d | NS136 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina46¢ → 0¢ | $34,937 | −$34,937 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina76¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | hurrican | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina80¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 5 |
| 23d | rytore | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa46¢ → 100¢ | $5,980 | +$7,020 +117% | 6 |
| 23d | Flaznorp3 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina57¢ → 0¢ | $3,333 | −$3,333 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | dmoralez2 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellDaria Kasatkina64¢ → 0¢ | $3,122 | +$3,122 +100% | — |
| 23d |  RN1 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina60¢ → 0¢ | $2,206 | −$2,206 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | dmoralez2 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina60¢ → 0¢ | $2,114 | −$2,114 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | PeterSagan | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina52¢ → 0¢ | $4,598 | −$4,598 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa50¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$4,000 +100% | 6 |
| 23d | Warlike-Locker-HideNew account | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina51¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 21 |
| 23d | jyben13 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa57¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$778 +76% | 6 |
| 23d | AGUGava | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa67¢ → 100¢ | $5,025 | +$2,475 +49% | 6 |
| 23d | Sn8383 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa65¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$677 −54% | — |
| 23d | UpTheBlues2 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina59¢ → 0¢ | $3,155 | −$3,155 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | DueDiligenceDan | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina51¢ → 0¢ | $3,343 | −$3,343 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa43¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | −$2,850 −133% | — |
| 23d | 0xNuttawut | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa50¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$1,150 +100% | 6 |
| 23d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa44¢ → 100¢ | $6,417 | +$8,060 +126% | 6 |
| 23d | Kkunn | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa34¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$9,512 +194% | 6 |
| 23d | astapzippo | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina58¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | muglishainer | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina47¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | SellPaula Badosa53¢ → 100¢ | $2,053 | −$1,821 −89% | — |
| 23d | Kev69 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina51¢ → 0¢ | $5,548 | −$5,548 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa54¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$893 +85% | 6 |
| 23d | kooper77 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina47¢ → 0¢ | $2,755 | −$2,755 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | alaskabaked | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa54¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | +$1,502 +85% | 6 |
| 23d |  XDownloadtrump | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyPaula Badosa67¢ → 100¢ | $4,159 | +$2,049 +49% | 6 |
| 23d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | BuyDaria Kasatkina33¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina means the market gives it about 100%.