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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 Winner | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +77 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d |  Kangta8585 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,282 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | mattjay | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $2,663 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | raihanhyder | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,629 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d |  RN14 fills | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka84¢ → 100¢ | $9,877 | +$1,812 +18% | 5 |
| 19d | raihanhyder | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka98¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$37 +2.3% | 4 |
| 19d | andylovenba | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka97¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$77 +3.6% | 4 |
| 19d | UpTheBlues4 fills | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka94¢ → 100¢ | $10,282 | +$652 +6.3% | 4 |
| 19d | Flaznorp4 fills | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka84¢ → 100¢ | $15,440 | +$3,001 +19% | 5 |
| 19d | Kalahanda | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek14¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 19d |  0xwise | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek13¢ → 0¢ | $1,529 | −$1,529 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | kkookkoo | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek27¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Jooboo123 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka54¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$855 +86% | 6 |
| 19d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek29¢ → 0¢ | $2,842 | −$2,842 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | johnny234 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek42¢ → 0¢ | $7,732 | −$7,732 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | 0x78be…bde0 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek33¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Luzzzer | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek28¢ → 0¢ | $2,873 | −$2,873 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Kkunn | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka | BuySara Bejlek27¢ → 0¢ | $5,445 | −$5,445 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Sara Bejlek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 0%.