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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 1 Winner | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | BuyAriana Geerlings83¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | +$1,017 +20% | 5 |
| 8d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | BuyJulia Grabher34¢ → 0¢ | $1,865 | −$1,865 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | SellAriana Geerlings79¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$277 −27% | — | |
| 8d | Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | BuyJulia Grabher57¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 8d | Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings | BuyJulia Grabher69¢ → 0¢ | $2,826 | −$2,826 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Grabher and Ariana Geerlings in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Grabher' if Julia Grabher advances against Ariana Geerlings. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Julia Grabher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings means the market gives it about 0%.