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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 Winner | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | Bigboybandi | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $4,259 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | dadasdaqw2 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $4,277 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | petyas231 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $1,527 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $25,672 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 168d |  doutrustlight | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $1,505 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $3,255 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $2,806 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | greek404 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $1,641 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | HowieRatner | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $2,902 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Sacrod | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | blindsamsam | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys>99¢ | $1,852 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys99¢ → 100¢ | $3,197 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 168d | swisstony | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys98¢ → 100¢ | $3,530 | +$72 +2.0% | 4 |
| 168d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys86¢ → 100¢ | $22,000 | +$3,680 +17% | 9 |
| 168d |  tradecraft2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys82¢ → 100¢ | $5,045 | +$1,099 +22% | 5 |
| 168d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys89¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$309 +12% | 5 |
| 168d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys87¢ → 100¢ | $12,135 | +$1,791 +15% | 5 |
| 168d | jyben13 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys86¢ → 100¢ | $3,063 | −$499 −16% | — |
| 168d | ferrariChampions2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys62¢ → 100¢ | $3,891 | +$2,385 +61% | 6 |
| 168d |  RN1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys61¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$1,093 +64% | 6 |
| 168d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns90¢ → 0¢ | $8,556 | −$8,556 −100% | 5 |
| 168d | Misguided-Trailpatrol | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns94¢ → 0¢ | $1,634 | −$1,634 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | tradecraft2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns59¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | redvinny3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns67¢ → 0¢ | $4,971 | −$4,971 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | Numb-Ramie | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys31¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,339 +223% | 12 |
| 168d |  TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellPeyton Stearns74¢ → 0¢ | $1,899 | +$1,899 +100% | — |
| 168d | tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellPeyton Stearns74¢ → 0¢ | $1,828 | +$1,828 +100% | — |
| 168d |  roro.cypher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellPeyton Stearns75¢ → 0¢ | $1,976 | +$1,976 +100% | — |
| 168d | MilesY2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns66¢ → 0¢ | $5,749 | −$5,749 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | Bigboybandi | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys35¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,763 +184% | 6 |
| 168d | jyben13 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys36¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$2,176 +178% | 6 |
| 168d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns56¢ → 0¢ | $1,889 | −$1,889 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | Confused-Birthday | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys58¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$7,324 +73% | 6 |
| 168d | doutrustlight | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys62¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$654 +61% | 6 |
| 168d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 6 |
| 168d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys61¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$1,271 +64% | 6 |
| 168d | RN1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns57¢ → 0¢ | $2,357 | −$2,357 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | roro.cypher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns53¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | −$1,323 −100% | 6 |
| 168d | roro.cypher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | SellMadison Keys51¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$1,362 −96% | — |
| 168d | Ripe-Destroyer | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys60¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$1,215 +67% | 9 |
| 168d | EliseHulde90547 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns | BuyMadison Keys60¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$1,013 +67% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Peyton Stearns in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Peyton Stearns. This market will resolve to 'Peyton Stearns' if Peyton Stearns advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns means the market gives it about 100%.