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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  Kangta8585 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez>99¢ | $1,873 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | wtylyjwyz | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Mika06 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez>99¢ | $2,126 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Ss1984 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | muchova19 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez>99¢ | $3,642 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Senseichicken | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez99¢ → 100¢ | $3,410 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | MrClaude11 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez97¢ → 100¢ | $9,835 | +$266 +2.7% | 4 |
| 5d | Ss1984 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez97¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$48 +3.1% | 4 |
| 5d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez95¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | −$214 −5.3% | — |
| 5d | muchova19 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez96¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$146 +4.2% | 4 |
| 5d | Sreem | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez90¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$422 +11% | 5 |
| 5d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez85¢ → 100¢ | $4,746 | +$813 +17% | 5 |
| 5d | 12f842n2e76 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez83¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$247 −20% | — |
| 5d | robustmst4 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens69¢ → 0¢ | $14,575 | +$14,575 +100% | — |
| 5d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez39¢ → 100¢ | $13,227 | +$20,583 +156% | 6 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez46¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$1,916 +117% | 6 |
| 5d | hurrican2 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez45¢ → 100¢ | $16,066 | +$19,672 +122% | 6 |
| 5d | ubetteruuuu4 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens72¢ → 0¢ | $6,800 | −$6,800 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | robustmst4 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens51¢ → 0¢ | $54,262 | −$54,262 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Justluck9 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens73¢ → 0¢ | $4,380 | +$4,380 +100% | — |
| 5d | littlebay | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens73¢ → 0¢ | $1,643 | +$1,643 +100% | — |
| 5d | Ivan948 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens85¢ → 0¢ | $7,650 | +$7,650 +100% | — |
| 5d | eokho | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens85¢ → 0¢ | $1,685 | +$1,685 +100% | — |
| 5d | hurrican | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez9¢ → 100¢ | $2,553 | −$26,279 −1029% | — |
| 5d | Mika06 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez47¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,128 +113% | 6 |
| 5d |  GongxifacaiRMB | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens46¢ → 0¢ | $1,318 | +$1,318 +100% | — |
| 5d | GongxifacaiRMB | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens74¢ → 0¢ | $2,120 | −$2,120 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | jtwyslljy | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez34¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$1,980 +194% | 6 |
| 5d | ubetteruuuu3 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez43¢ → 100¢ | $6,929 | +$9,371 +135% | 6 |
| 5d | Israel10 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens44¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Ivan948 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens36¢ → 0¢ | $3,240 | −$3,240 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Salad1 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens34¢ → 0¢ | $2,720 | −$2,720 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Mixed-Punch | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez67¢ → 100¢ | $2,227 | +$1,097 +49% | 6 |
| 5d |  Aussieoioioi | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens48¢ → 0¢ | $3,100 | −$3,100 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | hurrican | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens46¢ → 0¢ | $6,993 | +$6,993 +100% | — |
| 5d | eokho | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens67¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | outloudm | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez45¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,222 +122% | 6 |
| 5d | Luzzzer | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens56¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | outloudm | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens55¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | +$1,196 +100% | — |
| 5d | Kkunn | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez44¢ → 100¢ | $9,440 | −$12,014 −127% | — |
| 5d | Hellinas | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez36¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,778 +178% | 6 |
| 5d | hurrican | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens88¢ → 0¢ | $13,334 | −$13,334 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | outloudm | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens92¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | bankside | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens92¢ → 0¢ | $2,493 | −$2,493 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | zhaocaimao11 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens92¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | −$1,840 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | Wretched-Mat | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens82¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | littlebay | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | flatbarrel | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez22¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$4,450 −355% | — |
| 5d |  TRCM | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez21¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$4,740 +376% | 6 |
| 5d |  tradecraft | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez21¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$4,740 +376% | 6 |
| 5d | flatbarrel | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez21¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$4,740 +376% | 6 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens81¢ → 0¢ | $3,711 | −$3,711 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens81¢ → 0¢ | $1,790 | −$1,790 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | bankside | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellLeylah Fernandez26¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$4,244 −285% | — |
| 5d | liuhaizhou | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens82¢ → 0¢ | $3,036 | −$3,036 −100% | 5 |
| 5d | Kkunn3 fills | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyLeylah Fernandez29¢ → 100¢ | $10,851 | +$26,441 +244% | 6 |
| 5d |  MurkSniper | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | SellElise Mertens70¢ → 0¢ | $1,079 | +$1,079 +100% | — |
| 5d |  RN1 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens70¢ → 0¢ | $1,853 | −$1,853 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | viniplay | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens73¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | onon121 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BuyElise Mertens66¢ → 0¢ | $10,776 | −$10,776 −100% | 6 |
tiger10517,948 shares
noosh38,630 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez means the market gives it about 0%.