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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 Winner | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Game Spread +/-6.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +33 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +82 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Edenhazardous | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $2,300 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | pagliacci4 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova99¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 22d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova96¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$50 +4.2% | 4 |
| 22d | Kkunn2 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKatie Boulter19¢ → 0¢ | $3,763 | −$3,763 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Edenhazardous | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$302 +15% | 5 |
| 22d | Ss1984 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova85¢ → 100¢ | $6,375 | +$1,125 +18% | 5 |
| 22d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova71¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$581 +41% | 6 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova71¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$488 +41% | 6 |
| 22d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKatie Boulter27¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 6 |
| 22d |  XDownloadtrump | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKarolina Muchova84¢ → 100¢ | $5,040 | +$960 +19% | 5 |
| 22d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | BuyKatie Boulter16¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Katie Boulter in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Katie Boulter. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter means the market gives it about 100%.