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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 Winner | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d |  avenger | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | northnorth11 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $3,345 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellOsaka>99¢ | $1,406 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | COLBY451 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | dadasdaqw2 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $3,063 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Spiffy-Ambiguity-CodepageNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,563 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | mm12310 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | scooter3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $2,003 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Jontheone | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $8,580 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Ancient-Infarction | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $2,859 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Cantoso | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,524 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | bruc333 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,187 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  coinlaundry | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $20,735 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Scalio | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $5,550 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,733 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | PillYverse | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | Spiffy-Ambiguity-CodepageNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$42 +2.7% | 4 |
| 166d | coinlaundry2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka96¢ → 100¢ | $19,971 | +$779 +3.9% | 4 |
| 166d | Ancient-Infarction | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka84¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$462 +19% | 5 |
| 166d | HomeRunHazard | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka92¢ → 100¢ | $5,497 | +$478 +8.7% | 5 |
| 166d | Scalio | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$556 +11% | 5 |
| 166d |  TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellDiana Shnaider22¢ → 0¢ | $2,324 | +$2,324 +100% | — |
| 166d |  RN13 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka79¢ → 100¢ | $3,325 | +$900 +27% | 5 |
| 166d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka77¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$399 +30% | 6 |
| 166d |  roro.cypher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | SellNaomi Osaka81¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | −$855 −23% | — |
| 166d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyDiana Shnaider18¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 6 |
| 166d | ferrariChampions2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyDiana Shnaider18¢ → 0¢ | $1,544 | −$1,544 −100% | 6 |
| 166d | Jontheone | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka67¢ → 100¢ | $5,792 | +$2,797 +48% | 6 |
| 166d | Dishonest-Bloom | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyDiana Shnaider50¢ → 0¢ | $3,940 | −$3,940 −100% | 6 |
| 166d | dadasdaqw2 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka50¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$1,533 +100% | 6 |
| 166d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyOsaka71¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$407 +41% | 6 |
| 166d | ebkk590 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 6 |
| 167d | northnorth11 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider | BuyNaomi Osaka50¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$1,674 +100% | 4 |
RN15,454 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Diana Shnaider in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Naomi Osaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider means the market gives it about 100%.