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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183d |  inari.poly | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | aknetwork | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $3,104 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Playforkeeps | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $22,345 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Ancient-Infarction | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,071 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | YuriAura | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,208 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | 7ghreg | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $2,350 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | MarinM | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,180 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d |  Dark-Shower | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 183d | Plastic-Haven | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 183d | 7ghreg | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka93¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$164 +7.5% | 4 |
| 183d |  tradecraft | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka71¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$1,137 +41% | 6 |
| 183d |  TEUPAIXD | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka70¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$426 −42% | — |
| 183d | Plastic-Haven | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka81¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$348 +23% | 7 |
| 183d | Playforkeeps | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka81¢ → 100¢ | $18,015 | +$4,224 +23% | 5 |
| 183d | aknetwork | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka87¢ → 100¢ | $2,692 | +$402 +15% | 5 |
| 183d | sovereign2013 | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio24¢ → 0¢ | $1,449 | −$1,449 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | Dark-Shower | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka82¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$253 +22% | 5 |
| 183d | sovereign20132 fills | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka63¢ → 100¢ | $5,188 | +$3,023 +58% | 6 |
| 183d | jmm202 fills | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio34¢ → 0¢ | $4,417 | −$4,417 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka63¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$624 +59% | 6 |
| 183d | Bigboybandi | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio48¢ → 0¢ | $3,875 | −$3,875 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | Untried-Railway-Reception | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka49¢ → 100¢ | $979 | +$1,035 +106% | 6 |
| 183d | maxgreen | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio52¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | −$1,591 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio52¢ → 0¢ | $5,446 | −$5,446 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | NewTeamSosed2 | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka50¢ → 100¢ | $970 | +$970 +100% | 6 |
| 184d | Neigel | Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka | BuyCamila Osorio49¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Camila Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 means the market gives it about 100%.