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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d |  GameMaster2026 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Merc63 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | phredmoz | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko>99¢ | $4,227 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Eztennis2 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko>99¢ | $53,758 | −$54 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko89¢ → 100¢ | $2,840 | +$336 +12% | 5 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko73¢ → 100¢ | $6,531 | +$2,434 +37% | 6 |
| 21d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko75¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$357 −33% | — |
| 21d |  roro.cypher | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko75¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$500 −33% | — |
| 21d | Flaznorp | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa31¢ → 0¢ | $2,295 | −$2,295 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Mad-Wound | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko73¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$370 +37% | 6 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues3 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko78¢ → 100¢ | $5,651 | +$1,608 +28% | 5 |
| 21d | phredmoz | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko60¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$1,692 +67% | 6 |
| 21d | Katalunygeaxvhj3 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa31¢ → 0¢ | $16,880 | −$16,880 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Arcus-AI | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | — |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa54¢ → 0¢ | $8,953 | −$8,953 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa56¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 12 |
| 21d | Arcus-AI | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa53¢ → 0¢ | $1,590 | −$1,590 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Arcus-AI | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$840 −72% | — |
| 21d | Katalunygeaxvhj | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa37¢ → 0¢ | $3,803 | +$3,803 +100% | — |
| 21d | Substantial-Service | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko66¢ → 100¢ | $18,163 | +$9,357 +52% | 6 |
| 21d | AGUGava | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa16¢ → 0¢ | $5,120 | +$5,120 +100% | — |
| 21d | Arcus-AI | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 5 |
| 21d | dmoralez | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | SellJelena Ostapenko72¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$518 −39% | — |
| 21d | dmoralez2 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko70¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | +$1,336 +43% | 6 |
| 21d | whosay | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 6 |
| 21d | kkookkoo | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko64¢ → 100¢ | $22,232 | +$12,768 +57% | 6 |
| 21d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko53¢ → 100¢ | $5,379 | +$4,770 +89% | 6 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues2 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa54¢ → 0¢ | $5,565 | −$5,565 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Eztennis | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko60¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$679 +67% | 6 |
| 21d | Substantial-Service | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa44¢ → 0¢ | $16,765 | −$16,765 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa44¢ → 0¢ | $13,164 | −$13,164 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | solaenge | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa50¢ → 0¢ | $1,545 | −$1,545 −100% | 6 |
| 21d |  TRCM | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyJelena Ostapenko28¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$5,131 +257% | 6 |
| 21d | AGUGava2 fills | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa67¢ → 0¢ | $16,829 | −$16,829 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | 0xef81…222d | Completed Match | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,276 | +$262 +4.2% | 4 |
eskk2,742 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Jelena Ostapenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa means the market gives it about 100%.