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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | drrd2 fills | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | SellMia Ristic>99¢ | $5,626 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | Reliable-Giggle | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | SellMia Ristic94¢ → 100¢ | $4,483 | −$286 −6.4% | — |
| 33d | Reliable-Giggle | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | BuyMia Ristic39¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$2,909 +156% | 6 |
| 33d | RebornAthena | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | BuyMia Ristic49¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$2,039 +106% | 6 |
| 33d | Generous-Burning2 fills | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | BuyArantxa Rus49¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 6 |
| 33d | drrd | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | BuyMia Ristic53¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,632 +88% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Arantxa Rus in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Arantxa Rus. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Mia Ristic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus means the market gives it about 100%.