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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | 0% | −90 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Set 1 Winner | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178d | zxc3684 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $16,015 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d |  x.o | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $7,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $6,224 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d | 0x86fb…03d44 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka4¢ → 0¢ | $14,640 | −$14,640 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | WhenYouFindMe2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $18,561 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d | pilotbaby2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka1¢ → 0¢ | $2,327 | −$2,327 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | POLMAXI2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $23,563 | +$55 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d |  ProudIsraeli7 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $98,366 | +$275 +0.3% | 4 |
| 178d | Gloomy-OcelotNew account | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $3,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d | Coach993 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $25,875 | +$47 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d | yupiiiiiiiii | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $7,581 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d | 0x2eee…58062 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste86¢ → 100¢ | $6,039 | −$961 −16% | — |
| 178d | JourneyPM | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | SuperTurtle | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $1,094 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | 02-19 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $37,013 | +$37 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d | coreg | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $17,946 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $3,674 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d | Pleasant-Crest-Hedge | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $1,432 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Failing-ProgressionNew account | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $1,039 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Well-Lit-Cleric | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $5,288 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | encore21 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste>99¢ | $3,266 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 178d |  RN18 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste32¢ → 100¢ | $14,803 | +$31,323 +212% | 6 |
| 178d | Confused-Birthday | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka25¢ → 0¢ | $3,619 | +$3,619 +100% | — |
| 178d |  tradecraft2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka73¢ → 0¢ | $2,949 | −$2,949 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | swisstony6 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka67¢ → 0¢ | $12,570 | −$12,570 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | sjqdhqsjgd65 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka82¢ → 0¢ | $45,827 | +$45,827 +100% | — |
| 178d | Bigr100 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka89¢ → 0¢ | $2,345 | +$2,345 +100% | — |
| 178d | Spry-Disposer2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka40¢ → 0¢ | $3,780 | −$3,780 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | Poeloep | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka72¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | +$1,042 +100% | — |
| 178d | redvinny | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka66¢ → 0¢ | $2,938 | −$2,938 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | swisstony3 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste68¢ → 100¢ | $8,798 | +$4,084 +46% | 6 |
| 178d | romanh313 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka51¢ → 0¢ | $9,496 | −$9,496 −100% | 4 |
| 178d | Spry-Disposer | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka40¢ → 0¢ | $3,020 | +$3,020 +100% | — |
| 178d | tradecraft6 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste34¢ → 100¢ | $13,006 | +$25,421 +195% | 6 |
| 178d | ChompChomp888 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste64¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$769 +55% | 6 |
| 178d | sjqdhqsjgd652 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka27¢ → 0¢ | $30,000 | −$30,000 −100% | 6 |
| 178d |  ponczyk | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka26¢ → 0¢ | $2,014 | −$2,014 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | jumboNuts | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste75¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | +$574 +33% | 6 |
| 178d | kahe | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste73¢ → 100¢ | $7,149 | −$2,672 −37% | — |
| 178d | Lustrous-Painter | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka52¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | RN16 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka70¢ → 0¢ | $17,477 | −$17,477 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | Bigboybandi2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka77¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 6 |
| 178d |  bondito2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka79¢ → 0¢ | $3,307 | +$3,307 +100% | — |
| 178d | mlsaddndaslknlks | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka79¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 5 |
| 178d | Abdu2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellAryna Sabalenka80¢ → 0¢ | $3,194 | +$3,194 +100% | — |
| 178d | Artfulone | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka78¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 5 |
| 178d | Small-WheelNew account | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka45¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 178d |  4lem | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste66¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$586 −52% | — |
| 178d | Pertinent-Baseline | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste66¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$679 +52% | 6 |
| 178d | Flimsy-Notebook | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste65¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$679 −53% | — |
| 178d | redvinny | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste58¢ → 100¢ | $3,344 | +$2,421 +72% | 6 |
| 178d | Well-Lit-Cleric | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste35¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | +$3,302 +187% | 9 |
| 178d | bondito | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka78¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 5 |
| 178d | kahe | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyHailey Baptiste51¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,821 +96% | 6 |
| 178d | sportbetss | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka49¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | −$1,228 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | MrClaude11 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka57¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | ChompChomp8882 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka72¢ → 0¢ | $7,643 | −$7,643 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | Confused-Birthday | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka72¢ → 0¢ | $10,340 | −$10,340 −100% | 6 |
| 178d | Lne89 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | BuyAryna Sabalenka79¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 5 |
| 178d | tradecraft | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste | SellHailey Baptiste28¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | −$9,645 −264% | — |
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste means the market gives it about 0%.