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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Thorny-Creek | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,351 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Magnificent-Still | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,351 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | jameszer | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,442 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | VisionOfLove | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Bublik0101 | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Recent-Monument | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | fratii.brothers | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,182 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | saltibiscoti | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,238 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  agustindrombola | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,568 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | toanhtoanh2 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $5,691 | +$43 +0.8% | 4 |
| 227d | swisstony4 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka93¢ → 100¢ | $7,699 | +$550 +7.1% | 4 |
| 227d | Powerless-Diving | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $5,308 | +$339 +6.4% | 4 |
| 227d | Blissful-Swath | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$93 −6.4% | — |
| 227d | 08AF12 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $82,216 | +$5,187 +6.3% | 4 |
| 227d | fratii.brothers | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka93¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$83 +7.5% | 4 |
| 227d | KevinChe2026032 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $11,414 | +$1,450 +13% | 5 |
| 227d | VisionOfLove | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 5 |
| 227d | NoIdea666 | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka84¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$361 +19% | 4 |
| 227d | swy01 | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$272 +18% | 4 |
| 227d | SplendidAmadeus | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka84¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$208 +19% | 4 |
| 227d | Exalted-Evocation | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$381 +19% | 4 |
| 227d | agustindrombola | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka84¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$571 +19% | 4 |
| 228d | vincentchase112 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $11,900 | +$2,115 +18% | 4 |
| 228d | jameszer | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $3,779 | +$667 +18% | 4 |
| 228d | Thorny-Creek | BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$353 +18% | 7 |
This market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 100%.