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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 Winner | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 Winner | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | hurrican | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Grounded-Fertilizer-Pence | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-2.5 | SellSabalenka>99¢ | $2,638 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | drew263 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,834 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | VanGen | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Generous-Burning | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $7,805 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 42d |  DonHarino | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,838 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | 0xzaky | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Intentional-AdministrationNew account | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Kaleidoscopic-Clue | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,935 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $10,732 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | saltibiscoti | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $5,423 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | karteror99.9 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $21,049 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 42d | HomeRunHazard9 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $33,581 | +$3,017 +9.0% | 5 |
| 42d | blinki | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$40 +2.7% | 4 |
| 42d | andylovenba | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $4,179 | +$363 +8.7% | 5 |
| 42d | eugenepol0 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$846 +8.5% | 5 |
| 42d | hurrican | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$81 +4.2% | 4 |
| 42d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$48 +4.2% | 4 |
| 42d | Rich-Calf | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$125 +4.2% | 4 |
| 42d | DonHarino | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$170 +6.4% | 4 |
| 42d | TexMexTRex | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$316 +5.3% | 4 |
| 42d | maplestory079 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$53 +5.2% | 4 |
| 42d | 0F623 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $40,630 | +$2,624 +6.5% | 4 |
| 42d | SchruteBucks2 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka86¢ → 100¢ | $3,609 | −$587 −16% | — |
| 42d | projxtrd | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellAryna Sabalenka93¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$159 −7.5% | — |
| 42d | 0x6db5…e2793 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka84¢ → 100¢ | $17,499 | +$3,237 +18% | 5 |
| 42d | HomeRunHazard6 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula22¢ → 0¢ | $12,615 | −$12,615 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Tobias1909 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula17¢ → 0¢ | $3,060 | −$3,060 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | UpTheBlues3 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $5,934 | +$2,014 +34% | 6 |
| 42d |  0xwise2 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula35¢ → 0¢ | $55,492 | −$55,492 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 100¢ | $8,977 | +$1,609 +18% | 5 |
| 42d | 0xzaky | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka83¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$221 +20% | 5 |
| 42d | saltibiscoti | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka83¢ → 100¢ | $4,505 | +$923 +20% | 5 |
| 42d |  TRCM | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka82¢ → 100¢ | $5,191 | +$1,139 +22% | 5 |
| 42d | SchruteBucks | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka82¢ → 100¢ | $5,740 | +$1,260 +22% | 5 |
| 42d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka69¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$1,106 +45% | 6 |
| 42d | Substantial-Service | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula40¢ → 0¢ | $2,028 | −$2,028 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | AppleTiime | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula40¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellJessica Pegula47¢ → 0¢ | $9,249 | +$9,249 +100% | — |
| 42d | RebornAthena | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 6 |
| 42d | UpTheBlues2 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula34¢ → 0¢ | $2,306 | −$2,306 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | 0x6db5…e279 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula36¢ → 0¢ | $3,488 | −$3,488 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Flaznorp2 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula31¢ → 0¢ | $9,172 | −$9,172 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | sssssssssdfsdfsd | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka68¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$691 +47% | 6 |
| 42d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula33¢ → 0¢ | $6,500 | −$6,500 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Exalted-Evocation | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 21.5 | BuyOver63¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Reliable-Giggle | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula32¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula35¢ → 0¢ | $12,952 | −$12,952 −100% | 4 |
| 42d | HomeRunHazard | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 23.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | −$1,830 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | UsagiMagi | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula32¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | Flaznorp5 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka69¢ → 100¢ | $14,207 | +$6,415 +45% | 6 |
| 42d | tennistrader20 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula32¢ → 0¢ | $5,120 | −$5,120 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | xabidaking | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula32¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 6 |
| 42d | omnibus-076daa | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula31¢ → 0¢ | $1,116 | −$1,116 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Katalunygeaxvhj3 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula37¢ → 0¢ | $20,791 | −$20,791 −100% | 4 |
| 43d |  JustADonk | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 6 |
| 43d | Thebigshot | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula36¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | whosay | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula36¢ → 0¢ | $2,324 | −$2,324 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | 0xa0f2…184812 fills | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyAryna Sabalenka64¢ → 100¢ | $15,360 | +$8,640 +56% | 4 |
| 43d | Runemup | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyJessica Pegula37¢ → 0¢ | $6,100 | −$6,100 −100% | 4 |
CORGII21,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula means the market gives it about 100%.