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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 Winner | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183d | kahe5 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $70,593 | −$71 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,567 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Humble-Colonization3 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $7,176 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | iolololo | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | KJ31 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,814 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | VisionOfLove | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d |  mrkenlin8877 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,192 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | gamechanger001 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,305 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | greyner | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Ancient-Infarction | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $5,626 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | agirlnamedAlice69 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | SellUnder 2.599¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 183d | Xinxin25 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,635 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | mudman88 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $22,351 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Sacrod | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,793 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,207 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 183d | greyner | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$20 +1.4% | 4 |
| 183d | ken5 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | SellAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | −$40 −3.4% | — |
| 183d | case11 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 183d | swisstony3 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $4,272 | +$255 +6.0% | 4 |
| 183d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $2,498 | +$70 +2.8% | 4 |
| 183d | Kevin-Che-from1k | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka98¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$47 +2.3% | 4 |
| 183d | Humble-Colonization | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 183d | Ancient-Infarction | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $5,458 | +$169 +3.1% | 4 |
| 183d | mudman883 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $21,262 | +$1,079 +5.1% | 4 |
| 183d | ZZB2 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka90¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$124 +11% | 5 |
| 183d | Exalted-Evocation | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka93¢ → 100¢ | $4,979 | +$375 +7.5% | 4 |
| 183d |  RN1 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$155 +8.7% | 5 |
| 183d | bigboytrader8 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns8¢ → 0¢ | $3,445 | −$3,445 −100% | 6 |
| 183d | Xinxin25 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$108 +8.7% | 5 |
| 183d | mrkenlin8877 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$122 +6.5% | 4 |
| 183d | ken5 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$65 +6.4% | 4 |
| 183d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyPeyton Stearns6¢ → 0¢ | $3,234 | −$3,234 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Sacrod | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$125 +5.3% | 4 |
| 184d | wealthybanker | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$93 +5.3% | 4 |
| 184d |  JanderkoXBT | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$94 +5.3% | 4 |
| 184d | mwenya2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$193 +5.1% | 4 |
| 184d | 08AF8 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $42,289 | +$1,828 +4.3% | 4 |
| 184d |  ComingBack2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $33,253 | +$1,386 +4.2% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Peyton Stearns. This market will resolve to 'Peyton Stearns' if Peyton Stearns advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns means the market gives it about 100%.