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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 Winner | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 Winner | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d |  Lawsuitevidencaugust2026 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 80d |  MartyFinklestein | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 80d | 0F622 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $22,919 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 80d | jeromebenz | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,875 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 80d | yupiiiiiiiii | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,133 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 80d | jeromebenz2 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka98¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$80 +1.7% | 4 |
| 80d | Raccoon9200 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$30 +1.1% | 4 |
| 80d | swisstony11 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $70,006 | +$2,598 +3.7% | 4 |
| 80d |  tradecraft | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $6,483 | +$564 +8.7% | 5 |
| 80d | thestingsnake | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | SellAryna Sabalenka88¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$153 −14% | — |
| 80d | tradecraft | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyMoyuka Uchijima14¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 6 |
| 80d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka90¢ → 100¢ | $8,063 | +$870 +11% | 5 |
| 80d | Showy-Emergence3 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyMoyuka Uchijima15¢ → 0¢ | $4,191 | −$4,191 −100% | 6 |
| 80d | Lawsuitevidencaugust2026 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$280 +5.3% | 4 |
| 80d | 0F622 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $34,369 | +$1,484 +4.3% | 4 |
| 80d | comon119 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $4,029 | +$212 +5.3% | 4 |
| 80d | KevinEZM427 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$125 +4.2% | 4 |
| 80d | 5551ab | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$72 +4.2% | 4 |
| 81d | 0000. | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BuyAryna Sabalenka96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$181 +4.5% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Moyuka Uchijima. This market will resolve to 'Moyuka Uchijima' if Moyuka Uchijima advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima means the market gives it about 100%.