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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36d | vqvq | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $2,909 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 36d | realcaller | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $2,712 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 36d | yupiiiiiiiii2 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa>99¢ | $15,716 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 36d | HVAB | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa100¢ | $4,533 | +$23 +0.5% | 4 |
| 36d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa88¢ → 100¢ | $5,768 | +$801 +14% | 5 |
| 36d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa88¢ → 100¢ | $3,431 | +$455 +13% | 5 |
| 36d |  tradecraft2 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa83¢ → 100¢ | $3,643 | +$750 +21% | 5 |
| 36d |  RN1 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa87¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$302 +15% | 5 |
| 36d | thestingsnake | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$164 −15% | — |
| 36d | User.0xE | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | −$195 −15% | — |
| 36d | RebornAthena | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa87¢ → 100¢ | $9,405 | −$1,405 −15% | — |
| 36d | lfjlwkflwekfl | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa83¢ → 100¢ | $16,571 | +$3,394 +20% | 5 |
| 36d | Salad1 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyMary Stoiana25¢ → 0¢ | $1,375 | −$1,375 −100% | 6 |
| 36d | RebornAthena | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa74¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,811 +35% | 6 |
| 36d | vqvq | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa78¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$284 +28% | 5 |
| 36d | murnHD | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa76¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$316 +32% | 6 |
| 36d | saltibiscoti | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa69¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$1,649 +45% | 6 |
| 36d | ferrariChampions2026 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyMary Stoiana31¢ → 0¢ | $4,119 | −$4,119 −100% | 6 |
| 36d | Exalted-Evocation | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa70¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$857 +43% | 6 |
| 36d | ferrariChampions2026 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa70¢ → 100¢ | $10,570 | +$4,545 +43% | 6 |
no1dodgersfan6,630 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa means the market gives it about 0%.