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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 1 Winner | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | NS1317 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyClaire Liu21¢ → 0¢ | $63,247 | −$63,247 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | Flaznorp | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana90¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$175 +11% | 5 |
| 38d | Unlined-Brownie9 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana56¢ → 100¢ | $56,515 | +$44,978 +80% | 6 |
| 38d | tennis-loser | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyClaire Liu54¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | RebornAthena | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyClaire Liu34¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | NS132 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana62¢ → 100¢ | $9,229 | +$5,715 +62% | 6 |
| 38d | Hijekers | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana85¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$194 +18% | 5 |
| 38d |  ImFaster | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana82¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$848 +22% | 5 |
| 38d | jarosbill2 fills | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana82¢ → 100¢ | $8,994 | +$1,956 +22% | 5 |
| 38d | UpTheBlues | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana84¢ → 100¢ | $5,378 | +$1,024 +19% | 5 |
| 38d | HomeRunHazard | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana84¢ → 100¢ | $5,533 | +$1,055 +19% | 5 |
| 38d |  Zelenskys-suit | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana77¢ → 100¢ | $5,901 | +$1,749 +30% | 6 |
| 38d |  one8tyfive | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana72¢ → 100¢ | $5,753 | +$2,237 +39% | 6 |
| 38d | lkjasdf | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | SellClaire Liu31¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | +$1,085 +100% | — |
| 38d | phatgentleman | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyClaire Liu47¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | BlasdeLezo1492 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana65¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$829 +54% | 6 |
| 38d | omnibus-076daa | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana40¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | +$3,321 +150% | 6 |
| 38d | ferrariChampions2026 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BuyMary Stoiana43¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | +$3,894 +133% | 6 |
88M3,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Claire Liu in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu means the market gives it about 100%.