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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Wretched-Mat | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | SellLilli Tagger>99¢ | $1,576 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 4d |  isco22 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | SellLilli Tagger>99¢ | $5,091 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 4d |  c4acap | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger>99¢ | $7,042 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | muchova19 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | SellLilli Tagger95¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | −$187 −5.2% | — |
| 4d | Wretched-Mat | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger98¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$32 +2.0% | 4 |
| 4d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger93¢ → 100¢ | $18,508 | +$1,402 +7.6% | 4 |
| 4d | donaldbush | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 6 |
| 4d | onon121 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger80¢ → 100¢ | $8,465 | +$2,116 +25% | 5 |
| 4d | muchova19 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger80¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$750 +25% | 5 |
| 4d | liuhaizhou | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger75¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$774 +34% | 6 |
| 4d | isco22 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger77¢ → 100¢ | $3,924 | +$1,172 +30% | 6 |
| 4d | Substantial-Service | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger73¢ → 100¢ | $28,895 | +$10,687 +37% | 6 |
| 4d | CandleHammerDrums | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger75¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$1,477 +33% | 6 |
| 4d | Kkunn | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | SellLilli Tagger75¢ → 100¢ | $16,567 | −$5,522 −33% | — |
| 4d | bankside | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLiudmila Samsonova37¢ → 0¢ | $1,895 | −$1,895 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | Travonmx | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLiudmila Samsonova39¢ → 0¢ | $1,986 | −$1,986 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger46¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$2,700 +117% | 6 |
| 4d | Salad1 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger40¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$4,080 +150% | 6 |
| 4d | ferrariChampions2026 | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLiudmila Samsonova55¢ → 0¢ | $7,325 | −$7,325 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | dv-pm | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLiudmila Samsonova55¢ → 0¢ | $2,190 | −$2,190 −100% | 4 |
| 4d | Kkunn | Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | BuyLilli Tagger45¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | +$6,092 +122% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova means the market gives it about 100%.