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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 Winner | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Game Spread +/-5.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Mad-Wound | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,086 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | hurrican | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $5,412 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Rich-Calf | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $5,204 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | hanlun | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $3,443 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $1,735 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | PeterSagan | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $4,056 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Novelty8 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka>99¢ | $2,625 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | Rich-Calf | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$209 +4.2% | 4 |
| 21d | copicoyyy | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka96¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$56 −4.6% | — |
| 21d | suntori | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka98¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$43 +1.7% | 4 |
| 21d |  hd7772 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka98¢ → 100¢ | $18,566 | +$287 +1.5% | 4 |
| 21d | Arcus-AI | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka98¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$54 −1.8% | — |
| 21d | Flaznorp2 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka92¢ → 100¢ | $3,493 | +$296 +8.5% | 5 |
| 21d | hurrican | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$417 +8.3% | 5 |
| 21d |  coinlaundry5 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka90¢ → 100¢ | $34,898 | +$4,075 +12% | 5 |
| 21d | dmoralez5 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka72¢ → 100¢ | $8,972 | +$3,434 +38% | 6 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka81¢ → 100¢ | $12,448 | +$2,980 +24% | 5 |
| 21d | hanlun | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka89¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$375 +12% | 5 |
| 21d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva32¢ → 0¢ | $3,607 | −$3,607 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva31¢ → 0¢ | $5,572 | −$5,572 −100% | 6 |
| 21d |  RN12 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka66¢ → 100¢ | $3,217 | +$1,632 +51% | 6 |
| 21d | dmoralez | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka60¢ → 100¢ | $3,167 | −$2,076 −66% | — |
| 21d | RN12 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva37¢ → 0¢ | $3,102 | −$3,102 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | neutralwave232 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka60¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$1,727 +66% | 6 |
| 21d |  88M | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka65¢ → 100¢ | $6,576 | +$3,604 +55% | 6 |
| 21d | AGUGava2 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SellMaria Timofeeva19¢ → 0¢ | $11,617 | +$11,617 +100% | — |
| 21d | 0x78be…bde0 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva33¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | MilesY | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva11¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues6 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka93¢ → 100¢ | $8,077 | +$565 +7.0% | 4 |
| 22d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva10¢ → 0¢ | $1,903 | −$1,903 −100% | 6 |
| 22d |  Yellow-Fever | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva9¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | −$1,349 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | AGUGava3 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva15¢ → 0¢ | $11,394 | −$11,394 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Polyplayer14 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka92¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$231 +8.3% | 5 |
| 22d | copicoyyy | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka92¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$102 +8.7% | 5 |
| 22d | omoi0i0 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka77¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$330 +30% | 6 |
| 22d |  VeryLucky888 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 5 |
| 22d | Kkunn3 fills | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva22¢ → 0¢ | $9,113 | −$9,113 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | SineNooneEI | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyMaria Timofeeva20¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka80¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$379 +25% | 5 |
PaulaWalton1 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 0%.