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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Game Spread +/-7.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 Winner | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 Winner | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Winerius | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $7,856 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | hanlun2 fills | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Petty-Frame | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,297 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues6 fills | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka98¢ → 100¢ | $15,381 | +$246 +1.6% | 4 |
| 22d | Winerius2 fills | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka98¢ → 100¢ | $7,700 | +$164 +2.1% | 4 |
| 22d | hanlun | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $3,388 | +$112 +3.3% | 4 |
| 22d | Rich-Calf | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$174 +3.5% | 4 |
| 22d | KevinEZM427 | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$599 +3.3% | 4 |
| 22d | d008 | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$53 +3.5% | 4 |
| 22d | kutsumiakia | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$43 +3.5% | 4 |
| 22d | 0F622 fills | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $5,513 | +$196 +3.6% | 4 |
no1dodgersfan15,834 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Aryna Sabalenka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Aryna Sabalenka. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka means the market gives it about 0%.