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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443d | jhz1122 | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 443d |  MBB3 | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 443d |  RobinMarketHood | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$351 −32% | — |
| 443d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $4,794 | +$5,406 +113% | 5 |
| 443d | timeone6 fills | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyUp44¢ → 100¢ | $10,077 | +$12,770 +127% | 7 |
| 443d | timeone | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | SellUp30¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$3,246 −230% | — |
| 443d |  HaileyWelch | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown73¢ → 0¢ | $2,468 | −$2,468 −100% | 4 |
| 443d | Holymarshmellow | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $2,274 | −$2,274 −100% | 5 |
| 444d | 0xa95bfdb | XRP Up or Down on August 6? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | −$1,530 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 5 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 6 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 5 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 6 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.