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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | Sharky6999 | XRP Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,292 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | lastchancetosurvive | XRP Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown81¢ → 0¢ | $2,088 | −$2,088 −100% | 2 |
| 258d | Aixcer | XRP Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | −$955 −45% | — |
| 258d | 0x35385f3ef6c95f83fc18aae11462d3726950eac2 fills | XRP Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $3,561 | +$2,248 +63% | 4 |
| 258d | 0x35385f3ef6c95f83fc18aae11462d3726950eac2 fills | XRP Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $3,422 | −$3,422 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.