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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 284d | lastchancetosurvive | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,554 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | POLMAXI | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$129 +5.7% | 2 |
| 284d | lastchancetosurvive | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$596 +20% | 2 |
| 284d | lgtnb25 | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | SellDown82¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$539 −22% | — |
| 284d | sedrfgdsr | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$908 +41% | 4 |
| 284d | dftghgd2 fills | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown62¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | +$2,310 +63% | 4 |
| 284d | fjfdfdd | XRP Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
9812380876543322200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.