Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 385d | AZwater | XRP Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,132 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 385d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | XRP Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $6,660 | +$2,340 +35% | 4 |
| 385d | easyclap | XRP Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 5 |
| 386d | phoku2 | XRP Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | +$1,360 +79% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.