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Polymarket wallet 0x018076b47c85dc0ac16093a0d60adce0bf1a5954 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Alienated-Lightning
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown60¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SellDown99¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $1 |
| 280d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $1 |
| 280d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.