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Polymarket wallet 0x02c409d19811af06202ddb33e1b44c9306273768 · on Polymarket since Aug 10, 2026 · also shown as Flawed-Tambour
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,283 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $10 |
| 72d | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BuyDown9¢ | $25 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown53¢ | $279 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown68¢ | $136 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown36¢ | $623 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BuyDown13¢ | $106 |
| 72d | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $16 |
| 72d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $425 |
| 73d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $5 |
| 73d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $205 |
| 73d | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SellYes81¢ | $211 |
| 74d | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $82 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.