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Polymarket wallet 0x0381cf9ef8844150c3feccf49bf27e12b337b653 · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Grumpy-Tadpole
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 373 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,220 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 294 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,316 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 636 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,055 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 542 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,364 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,613 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown12¢ | $5 |
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $27 |
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $27 |
| 98d | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BuyYes2¢ | $52 |
| 98d | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? | BuyYes3¢ | $52 |
| 98d | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5 | BuyOver17¢ | $52 |
| 98d | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BuyYes4¢ | $52 |
| 98d | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BuyYes4¢ | $52 |
| 160d | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BuyYes71¢ | $236 |
| 166d | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 10? | BuyYes8¢ | $52 |
| 166d | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BuyNo11¢ | $155 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $69 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.