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Polymarket wallet 0x0406bd9a78cd4c76baf4c695548bb2a613575593 · on Polymarket since Mar 25, 2023 · also shown as Assured-Casket
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $11 |
| 256d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 256d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 256d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.