Bad-Bicycle

Polymarket wallet 0x0428b70eb6f2c3a5501057c8ce8feab300913259 · on Polymarket since Mar 10, 2026

Positions now worth: $61.2
All-time profit: +$2.24
Volume traded: $868
All-time rank: #634,017
Markets traded: 43
Recent hit rate: 100%39 of last 39 closed

Open positions

4 markets · $61.2

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 433d	No	30	93¢ → 71¢	$21	−$7 −24%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	97¢ → 100¢	$20	+$1 +2.6%
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	99¢ → 100¢	$20	+$0 +1.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Settled - ready to redeem	$60k	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
205d	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	SellNo90¢	$7
206d	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	Buy$60k51¢	$10
210d	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	SellNo>99¢	$20
210d	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	Sell$60k72¢	$4
210d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SellNo99¢	$15
210d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	SellYes94¢	$6
211d	Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	BuyNo100¢	$10
211d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BuyNo>99¢	$20
212d	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	BuyYes99¢	$30
212d	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$30
212d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$7
212d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$7
212d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$7
212d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$8
212d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$0
213d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SellNo99¢	$8
213d	Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	BuyYes99¢	$20
213d	Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?	BuyNo99¢	$20
214d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?	BuyYes97¢	$7
214d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?	BuyYes97¢	$4
214d	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?	BuyYes97¢	$3
214d	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BuyNo100¢	$20
214d	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BuyNo97¢	$19
214d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BuyNo91¢	$14
214d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SellNo94¢	$47
214d	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	SellYes>99¢	$20
214d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SellNo>99¢	$7
214d	Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?	SellNo98¢	$1
214d	Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?	SellNo98¢	$5
214d	Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?	SellNo98¢	$1
214d	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BuyYes98¢	$20
214d	Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?	SellNo98¢	$3
215d	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BuyNo93¢	$28
215d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	SellNo95¢	$10
215d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BuyNo92¢	$46
215d	Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?	BuyNo96¢	$10
216d	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes99¢	$20
216d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?	BuyYes99¢	$10
216d	Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?	BuyYes97¢	$8
216d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?	SellNo>99¢	$8
216d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?	BuyNo97¢	$8
217d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	BuyNo87¢	$9
218d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?	SellNo99¢	$7
218d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?	SellNo99¢	$2
218d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?	SellNo99¢	$5
218d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?	BuyNo98¢	$7
218d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SellYes99¢	$10
218d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	BuyNo97¢	$8
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 21?	SellNo98¢	$6
219d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyNo96¢	$8
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 21?	SellNo98¢	$1
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?	SellNo75¢	$5
220d	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	BuyNo88¢	$7
220d	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?	BuyNo98¢	$7
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 19?	SellNo94¢	$6
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?	SellNo90¢	$9
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 19?	SellNo98¢	$1
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 19?	SellNo98¢	$6
220d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 21?	BuyNo94¢	$7
221d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?	SellNo89¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 39 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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