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Polymarket wallet 0x043aea58d70a615748ee14ae4513a55a67374ab8 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Fickle-Outside
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6,256 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,128 −100% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansSettled - ready to redeem | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Ekaterina MaklakovaSettled - ready to redeem | Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 5 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,491 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$746 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | HYPE Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
| 81d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $8 |
| 85d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 89d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 94d | Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5 | BuyOver48¢ | $3 |
| 97d | Gao vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $3 |
| 100d | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ | $3 |
| 100d | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ | $0 |
| 106d | ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Ekaterina Maklakova | BuyEkaterina Tupitsyna51¢ | $2 |
| 288d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3,128 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $745 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $746 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $278 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 8AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $20 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 8AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $258 |
| 289d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 7AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $264 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.