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Polymarket wallet 0x04686868f458a9e16d428ab001a848dc8c10a8b0 · on Polymarket since Jun 21, 2025 · also shown as Safe-Raid
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 822 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$304 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,978 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BuyDown37¢ | $304 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BuyUp57¢ | $83 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyUp37¢ | $92 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $10 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $104 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $100 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $104 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $7,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.