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Polymarket wallet 0x063853988f0e83152777a97afa11f8e660d41245 · on Polymarket since Dec 5, 2024 · also shown as Insubstantial-Dessert
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,162 | 46¢ → 9¢ | $184 | −$816 −82% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,577 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes46¢ | $1,000 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ | $5,631 |
| 241d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes35¢ | $1,000 |
| 278d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes36¢ | $1,096 |
| 281d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes54¢ | $698 |
| 287d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes36¢ | $350 |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes35¢ | $353 |
| 292d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $106 |
| 292d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $70 |
| 295d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes25¢ | $702 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.