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Polymarket wallet 0x0e41778d646fbd64fd541e220170f19e7493a3b9 · on Polymarket since Feb 4, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 27 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 682 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,960 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$997 −100% |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo10¢ | $299 |
| 238d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo10¢ | $300 |
| 238d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo13¢ | $100 |
| 241d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo14¢ | $298 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $15 |
| 262d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $30 |
| 262d | Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp76¢ | $30 |
| 262d | Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp86¢ | $20 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BuyUp66¢ | $5 |
| 262d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 262d | US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 262d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 262d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 262d | Will the US strike Mexico next? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.