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Polymarket wallet 0x10d95cc43ff20f1890a2a7856dc4ea883c175d17 · on Polymarket since Dec 20, 2024 · also shown as Reckless-Oak
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 61¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$3 +55% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +317% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Doodles token announcement in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Linea airdrop in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $2 |
| 221d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyNo61¢ | $5 |
| 221d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 672d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 672d | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | SellNo95¢ | $10 |
| 672d | Will there be a US Government shutdown? | SellNo37¢ | $12 |
| 672d | Will there be a US Government shutdown? | BuyNo32¢ | $10 |
| 672d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ | $10 |
| 672d | Doodles token announcement in 2024? | BuyYes44¢ | $50 |
| 672d | Linea airdrop in 2024? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 672d | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ | $10 |
| 672d | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.