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Polymarket wallet 0x1296c4561d7acf09365a71ac4bd701e315c1d0d6 · on Polymarket since Oct 11, 2025 · also shown as Mushy-Vertigo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10,200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,400 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 333d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24? | BuyNo95¢ | $5 |
| 347d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10? | BuyYes99¢ | $6 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $485 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $6 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $4,500 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $5,200 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5,100 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $44 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $20 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $30 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $20 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.