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Polymarket wallet 0x12d64828e6c8451d9a868bd2af01e571f69db610 · on Polymarket since Jul 10, 2026 · also shown as Lavish-Circadian-Heating
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 625 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 118 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $5 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $5 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SellDown71¢ | $10 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BuyDown34¢ | $5 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BuyDown76¢ | $25 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BuyYes14¢ | $4 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BuyDown84¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $5 |
| 78d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.