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Polymarket wallet 0x144d4000baa1737ba88b8fd15381f10bf8c2e1d0 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Pale-Walrus
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,284 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,252 | +$32 +2.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,045 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1,020 | +$101 +11% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | US x China Military clash before 2027? | BuyNo95¢ | $1,220 |
| 161d | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 |
| 288d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $919 |
| 288d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SellYes12¢ | $919 |
| 288d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $996 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.