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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$630 −100% |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,317 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,720 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BuyYes82¢ | $396 |
| 316d | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BuyYes82¢ | $1,856 |
| 316d | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BuyYes82¢ | $49 |
| 316d | Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BuyYes21¢ | $629 |
| 316d | Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BuyYes82¢ | $419 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.