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Polymarket wallet 0x15b20b2f8abea7a5aae2061f429c845f8d70a0ce · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2025 · also shown as Ugly-Branch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,382 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,191 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 832 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$416 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 760 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 866 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$433 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,191 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $321 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $95 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $433 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $279 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $317 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $380 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.