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Polymarket wallet 0x15d2a627b55c0742ead6b7deec24fe88ca31bc1a · on Polymarket since Jan 1, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16,573 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $1,077 | −$1,297 −55% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6,190 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $650 | −$466 −42% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.