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Polymarket wallet 0x15d4fb0a1c9e8dd7e8059195d1a1309d7b736e05 · on Polymarket since Feb 24, 2026 · also shown as Instructive-Mesenchyme
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 236 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BuyUp70¢ | $1 |
| 226d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BuyDown78¢ | $4 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $2 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SellDown99¢ | $4 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyUp28¢ | $4 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyDown67¢ | $3 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SellUp31¢ | $2 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyUp53¢ | $4 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | SellUp99¢ | $5 |
| 226d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.