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Polymarket wallet 0x15f078ae1e46da9241b43e4f777029c34b729c7d · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2026 · also shown as Insecure-Theory-Hospice
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 7 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 540 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$536 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BuyYes85¢ | $6 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $536 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $454 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $531 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $528 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $459 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $65 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $255 |
| 9d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $307 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.