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Polymarket wallet 0x15f98e97b65d1be7c56cf44e3c4066e2d76f93a0 · on Polymarket since Nov 18, 2025 · also shown as Improbable-Patron
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3,156 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,546 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,726 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$863 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,658 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$829 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,040 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,520 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown50¢ | $12 |
| 259d | Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp58¢ | $11 |
| 270d | Solana Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,600 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $8 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $1,536 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,520 |
| 270d | XRP Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,615 |
| 322d | Adobe (ADBE) Up or Down After Earnings? | BuyUp50¢ | $9 |
| 322d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown38¢ | $6 |
| 338d | XRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $829 |
| 338d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $863 |
| 338d | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 18? | BuyDown50¢ | $822 |
| 338d | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 18? | BuyDown50¢ | $862 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.