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Polymarket wallet 0x18869e21288fd3613f6bb8b19932db2123556139 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2025 · also shown as Honored-Lynx
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 67 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 41 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 121 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,154 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 359d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $6 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $54 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp30¢ | $20 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | SellUp7¢ | $2 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BuyUp77¢ | $26 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BuyDown28¢ | $20 |
| 370d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BuyUp10¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.