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Polymarket wallet 0x1a15a13c69c018e10046c68ad3436c95245e25d3 · on Polymarket since Jan 26, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 117 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 259d | Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $6 |
| 259d | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026? | BuyNo7¢ | $20 |
| 260d | Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 260d | GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026? | SellYes100¢ | $63 |
| 260d | Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? | SellYes65¢ | $17 |
| 261d | Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes88¢ | $23 |
| 263d | GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $40 |
| 270d | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 270d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 270d | GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.