alextalley

Polymarket wallet 0x1a3fb05e94caef23e28905767cd603eb574a6dea · on Polymarket since Mar 5, 2024 · also shown as Bumpy-Metallurgist

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $83.5K
All-time profit: +$91.5K
Volume traded: $795K
All-time rank: #2,094
Markets traded: 52
Recent hit rate: 51%25 of last 49 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $83.5K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	83,494	42¢ → 89¢	$73,892	+$38,692 +110%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	28,571	35¢ → 34¢	$9,571	−$429 −4.3%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d	Yes	199	36¢ → 36¢	$72	+$0 +0.0%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3d	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	BuyYes36¢	$73
15d	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$10,260
63d	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	SellNo56¢	$444
65d	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	BuyNo43¢	$345
98d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo48¢	$10,000
98d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo47¢	$1,000
98d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo46¢	$19,200
98d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SellNo99¢	$75,085
113d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo72¢	$10,000
113d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo>99¢	$75,494
113d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo75¢	$10,305
113d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo>99¢	$10,305
114d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo70¢	$11,443
114d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo99¢	$21,378
141d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo66¢	$5,000
141d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo26¢	$5,000
144d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo62¢	$629
144d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo64¢	$7,000
144d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo62¢	$1,500
144d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo64¢	$100
144d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo64¢	$1,000
148d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo44¢	$780
152d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo42¢	$3,900
161d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo55¢	$3,600
161d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo71¢	$3,680
166d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo50¢	$10,802
167d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo47¢	$2,030
168d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo48¢	$2,500
168d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo47¢	$250
168d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo45¢	$6,000
169d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo45¢	$10,400
173d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo57¢	$3,189
173d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	SellNo80¢	$3,184
179d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo45¢	$1,100
179d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo45¢	$4,000
180d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo42¢	$1,700
180d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo44¢	$25
180d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo49¢	$1,000
180d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo46¢	$1,500
180d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo44¢	$500
182d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo43¢	$1,500
182d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo42¢	$1,000
182d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$2,519
182d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo40¢	$170
183d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo34¢	$600
183d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo33¢	$100
183d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo33¢	$100
183d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BuyNo57¢	$1,500
183d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	SellNo96¢	$2,470
188d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BuyNo34¢	$461
188d	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	SellNo71¢	$421
188d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	BuyNo55¢	$1,500
194d	Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	BuyCarlos Alcaraz48¢	$250
196d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes38¢	$350
197d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes39¢	$100
197d	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo73¢	$50
197d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes40¢	$10
197d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes39¢	$100
197d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes38¢	$25
197d	Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	BuyYes41¢	$420

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 49 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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