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Polymarket wallet 0x1ac39ed1a4c55052bb3c471ec3ce62c5a7e209a4 · on Polymarket since Feb 18, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 769 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 571 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BuyNo34¢ | $20 |
| 234d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 234d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $10 |
| 234d | Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election? | BuyYes84¢ | $10 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
| 240d | Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 243d | US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo14¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.