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Polymarket wallet 0x1b083d7bc4a045d8f45feab5bac9299ce1e197f3 · on Polymarket since Apr 12, 2026 · also shown as Narrow-Conspirator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 928 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BuyNo82¢ | $5 |
| 122d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BuyNo91¢ | $6 |
| 122d | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 127d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BuyNo75¢ | $5 |
| 127d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 127d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 127d | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 193d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BuyDown10¢ | $1 |
| 193d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.