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Polymarket wallet 0x1bb7245141f77c6513ad58a3a45df1783d48a082 · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,723 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 613 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,711 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,451 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $130 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $70 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $73 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SellYes32¢ | $72 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $30 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | SellYes8¢ | $31 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $41 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | SellYes8¢ | $41 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $25 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $50 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $20 |
| 283d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 283d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $20 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.