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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 122 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? | BuyYes34¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo21¢ | $4 |
| 84d | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? | BuyYes32¢ | $4 |
| 122d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo50¢ | $1 |
| 122d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $1 |
| 122d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo50¢ | $1 |
| 123d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SellNo50¢ | $3 |
| 127d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $1 |
| 127d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $2 |
| 127d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $2 |
| 127d | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SellNo46¢ | $5 |
| 150d | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BuyNo46¢ | $2 |
| 150d | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BuyNo45¢ | $2 |
| 150d | Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May? | BuyNo1¢ | $2 |
| 150d | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BuyNo47¢ | $2 |
| 150d | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BuyYes55¢ | $2 |
| 150d | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BuyNo44¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.